Continuous team strategy loop for AI agents: think clearly → align → correct course.
Strategy is not a list of goals — a strategy without trade-offs is not a strategy, and treating assumptions as facts is the biggest trap. This skill turns strategic thinking from a one-off analysis into a persistent mechanism.
Two things at the core:
- Trade-offs — a strategy must answer "we choose A, and deliberately do not do B". A goal list is not a strategy.
- Assumption register — separate assumptions from facts, validate them continuously, and never let an unverified assumption pass as a fact.
Strategy
↓
Strategic Priorities
↓
Initiatives
↓
Metrics
↓
Weekly Ops Review
↓
Problems / Evidence
↓
Decisions
↓
Adjust Initiatives
↺
| Trigger | Rhythm | Flow |
|---|---|---|
| Strategic thinking, quarterly/half-year planning, team alignment | Strategy session | 11-step main flow (see SKILL.md) |
| Weekly review | Ops review | 5 questions (see SKILL.md) |
| Monthly/quarterly review | Business review | references/business-review.md |
Maintained long-term under your strategy directory (templates in templates/):
STRATEGY_STATE.md— current strategy state: current state, diagnosis, strategic questions, choices, non-goals, initiatives, metrics.DECISION_LOG.md— decision log: background, options, trade-offs, and conditions that would overturn each decision.ASSUMPTION_REGISTER.md— assumption register: separates assumptions from facts, marks evidence and confidence, validated regularly. This is the memory of the loop.
These three documents are the single source of truth — state, decisions, and assumptions are declared here only; other documents reference, never restate.
| Path | Purpose |
|---|---|
SKILL.md |
Loop overview, rhythm triage, 11-step strategy session, weekly ops review, three mandatory docs |
references/strategy-framework.md |
Choices + trade-offs framework |
references/business-review.md |
Monthly/quarterly business review |
references/decision-framework.md |
Decision & assumption register conventions |
templates/ |
Skeleton for STRATEGY_STATE / DECISION_LOG / ASSUMPTION_REGISTER / initiative scorecard |
- Confirm your strategy directory (where the three documents live).
- Run the matching rhythm: strategy session → 11-step main flow; weekly → ops review; monthly/quarterly → business review.
- Update the three documents at the end of every run.
- Has the goal changed?
- Is any metric off track?
- What is the biggest blocker?
- Which strategic assumption might be wrong?
- What needs an owner's decision?
- Current State — what is happening now, described with facts.
- Diagnosis — the real problem, separating symptoms from root causes.
- Strategic Questions — the 3–5 most important strategic questions.
- Options — ≥2 candidate routes per question.
- Trade-offs — what each choice gives up.
- Strategic Choices — final choice written as "choose A, deliberately not B, because…".
- Non-goals — what is explicitly not done, into STRATEGY_STATE.
- Initiatives — strategy lands on initiative / owner / milestone.
- Metrics — an observable metric per initiative.
- Evidence — separate assumptions from existing evidence; assumptions go to ASSUMPTION_REGISTER with confidence.
- Review — write down the conditions that would trigger re-evaluation.
MIT — see LICENSE.
战略不是目标清单——没有取舍的不是战略,把假设当事实是战略最大的坑。本技能把战略思考从一次性的分析变成持续机制。
核心是两件事:
- 取舍 — 战略必须有「选 A 暂不做 B」,目标清单不是战略。
- 假设登记 — 把假设与事实分开,持续验证,防止把未经验证的假设当事实。
战略
↓
战略优先级
↓
Initiatives
↓
Metrics
↓
每周运营复盘
↓
问题 / 证据
↓
决策
↓
调整 Initiatives
↺
| 触发 | 节奏 | 流程 |
|---|---|---|
| 战略思考、季度/半年规划、团队对齐 | 战略会 | 11 步主流程(见 SKILL.md) |
| 每周复盘 | 运营复盘 | 5 个问题(见 SKILL.md) |
| 月/季复盘 | 业务复盘 | references/business-review.md |
战略目录下长期维护三份文档(模板见 templates/):
STRATEGY_STATE.md— 当前战略状态:现状、诊断、战略问题、选择、Non-goals、Initiatives、Metrics。DECISION_LOG.md— 决策日志:背景、选项、取舍、推翻条件。ASSUMPTION_REGISTER.md— 假设登记:把假设与事实分开,标注证据与 Confidence,定期验证。这是循环的记忆。
三份文档是单一事实源:状态、决策、假设只在此声明,其他文档引用不复述。
| 路径 | 用途 |
|---|---|
SKILL.md |
循环总览、三种节奏分流、战略会 11 步主流程、每周运营复盘、三份强制文档 |
references/strategy-framework.md |
取舍与选项分析框架 |
references/business-review.md |
月/季业务复盘流程 |
references/decision-framework.md |
决策与假设登记口径 |
templates/ |
STRATEGY_STATE / DECISION_LOG / ASSUMPTION_REGISTER / initiative scorecard 骨架 |
- 确认战略目录(三份文档所在处)。
- 跑对应节奏:战略会走 11 步主流程;每周走运营复盘;月/季走业务复盘。
- 每次结束更新三份文档。
- 目标有没有发生变化?
- Metric 有没有偏离?
- 最大 blocker 是什么?
- 哪个战略假设可能错了?
- 有什么事情需要负责人做决定?
- Current State — 现在发生了什么?用事实描述,标注数据来源与时间窗口。
- Diagnosis — 真正的问题是什么?区分症状与根因,根因可验证。
- Strategic Questions — 当前最重要的 3~5 个战略问题。
- Options — 每个问题列出 ≥2 条可选路线。
- Trade-offs — 每个选择写明放弃什么。
- Strategic Choices — 最终选择,写成「选 A,暂不做 B,因为……」。
- Non-goals — 明确不做什么,写进 STRATEGY_STATE。
- Initiatives — 战略落到 initiative / owner / milestone。
- Metrics — 每个 initiative 配可观测 metric,写明如何知道奏效。
- Evidence — 区分假设与已有证据;假设进 ASSUMPTION_REGISTER,标注 Confidence。
- Review — 写清什么情况下重新评估战略(触发条件)。
MIT — 见 LICENSE。